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By now, analysts still calling for a recession in the good 'ol USofA find themselves in the minority and maybe even at risk of losing his or her job. At the beginning of last year though, the chorus...
The Fed hiked rates above 5%, and yet the US economy didn't break.Back in 2022 already, the yield curve inverted and it has stayed inverted ever since. The lags looked relatively short, and the US...
US inflation resumes downtrend, retail sales stagnateDollar falls as investors add to Fed rate cut betsYen gains even as Japanese economy contractsWall Street to fresh records, gold rallies on US...
Gold Climbs Higher on Expectations of Rate Cuts by the FedGold (XAU) continued its uptrend and reached 2,390 on Wednesday, gaining 1.18% overall. The rise was supported by a weaker US dollar (USD) and...
All’s well that ends well. US inflation came in line with expectations yesterday; core CPI fell for the first time in six months and the monthly CPI figure was a bit lower than expected. Cherry...
Stocks finished higher yesterday, no surprise, given that implied volatility levels fell sharply from yesterday’s closing once the CPI report was released. The CPI report itself seemed pretty...
The bulls cleared another hurdle. The first-quarter earnings season has been strong. With 92% of S&P 500 companies reporting, the EPS beat rate is 78%, near the five-year average.More impressive...
Since the pandemic-related bazooka of fiscal stimulus, the outstanding Federal debt has risen appreciably. In nominal dollar terms, the recent debt surge is mindboggling. However, the increase is on...
Countdown to US CPI report is almost overIncreased risk of an upside surprise after strong PPIUS dollar on the back foot today as equities in waiting modeChina prepares to go all in to save the...
Gold Is Moving Sideways, Awaiting US CPI DataThe gold price (XAU) rose in the mid-afternoon session on Tuesday. The US dollar (USD) and Treasury yields weakened even though Producer Price Index (PPI)...
Yesterday was one of those days when investors insisted on seeing a glass that was one-tenth full as completely full.The US producer price data came in higher than expected. The US factory-gate prices...
It was a volatile trading session, with stocks having some big swings to start the day following the PPI and then moving higher late in the day. The IV levels for shorted dated rose today, while...
US consumer inflation data was surprisingly firm in March, raising the stakes for tomorrow’s April report (Wed., May 15). Another round of disappointing numbers would arguably confirm that the...
CPI data for April will be released on 15 May. Economists expect overall inflation to fall to 3.4% and core inflation—to 3.7% by the end of April. The cooling impulse in US inflation seen for...
While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. There are many current concerns, from geopolitical risk...